Victorians are being informed to batten down the hatches, with summer time thunderstorms threatening to dump mammoth rainfall totals and trigger widespread flooding.
Whereas the solar was shining on Saturday, Emergency Administration Commissioner Rick Nugent warned the state was set for a significant rain occasion on Sunday and Monday.
‘We’ll most certainly obtain totals of round 150mm of rain however we may obtain upwards of 200mm of rain throughout the state,’ he informed reporters.
Emergency authorities are getting ready for the worst-case rain situation and have urged Victorians to do the identical, significantly in the event that they dwell in flood-prone areas.
‘Particularly individuals staying in caravan parks and tenting alongside creeks and alongside waterways,’ Mr Nugent mentioned.
He mentioned lots of the state’s rivers and creeks had been already fairly full from current rain, making it extremely doubtless the forecast storms may result in flash flooding in these areas.
‘Falling tree branches and flash floods are the very best danger, and please do not drive by means of floodwaters – you are driving a automobile, not a ship,’ Mr Nugent mentioned.
‘We do not need emergency service personnel having to rescue individuals throughout this occasion.’
Thunderstorms are anticipated to develop in Victoria’s west on Sunday morning, earlier than transferring by means of central, north central and japanese components of the state in the course of the day and into Monday.
‘It is not only a one-day occasion,’ Bureau of Meteorology meteorologist Michael Efron mentioned.
He mentioned the low-pressure trough would initially produce widespread rain and thunderstorm exercise within the Mallee and Wimmera districts.
Some areas may very well be set for as much as 60mm of rain in lower than an hour, he mentioned.
Widespread rainfall totals may very well be as excessive as 150mm in central and northern components of the state, and as much as 200mm within the north and northeast.
A warning for minor to average flooding has been issued for greater than a dozen catchments.
‘The quantity of moisture throughout the state in the mean time is unimaginable,’ Mr Efron mentioned.
‘It is what you’ll usually see in someplace like Queensland.’
In September, the bureau formally declared an El Nino local weather sample, which usually delivers drier situations for a lot of the nation.
Mr Efron defined different local weather elements had been influencing the present spate of storms throughout japanese Australia, together with the Southern Annular Mode and above-average sea floor temperatures within the Tasman Sea.
‘These easterly winds are bringing that humid air throughout Victoria,’ he mentioned.
‘Everybody would have seen the humidity, and I believe we’re prone to see that persevering with by means of the remainder of this month.’
Victoria State Emergency Service chief operations officer Tim Wiebusch mentioned storm fronts with a ‘tropical moisture hyperlink’ typically spelled flash flooding and subsequent riverine flooding.
Mr Wiebusch mentioned the flooding danger was highest to the state’s north however metropolitan Melbourne may face the identical menace between midnight on Sunday and noon on Monday.
‘We’re asking Victorians to get ready now,’ he mentioned.
‘If you happen to’re staying or holidaying within the northeast of the state, or the Loddon or Avoca areas, we’d ask you to concentrate to the emergency warnings.
‘We have already seen 20 flood rescues from the beginning of 2024 – that is 20 too many.’
SES crews will set up sandbag assortment factors at high-risk areas similar to Bendigo, Castlemaine, Campbells Creek, Heathcote and Wedderburn from Sunday.
Mr Wiebusch mentioned extra sandbag websites could be arrange.